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Live market summary

Below 39.7% is favored at 38% as of 17 Sep 2026, 04:05 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Below 39.7%: 38% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.7%: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.8%: 18% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.9%: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 40.3%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.0%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.1%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.3%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.2%: 2% (24h change 0%)
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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 17, 2026?

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About this market

Market question: Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 17, 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 17, 2026?

Below 39.7% is favored at 38% as of 17 Sep 2026, 04:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 17, 2026?

Below 39.7%: 38%; 39.7%: 30%; 39.8%: 18%; 39.9%: 11%; Above 40.3%: 2%; 40.0%: 2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.