Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026? is favored at 7.4% as of 4 Oct 2026, 07:35 UTC across 1 market.
- Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?: 7.4% (24h change +1.9%)
About this market
Market question: 2026: Trump's bad year?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 2026: Trump's bad year?
Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026? is favored at 7.4% as of 4 Oct 2026, 07:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 2026: Trump's bad year?
Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?: 7.4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.