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Powered by KalshiNew Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·99.9%(+99.6%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·98%(+97%)Alaska House winner?·Bill Hill·10%(-84%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Lesil McGuire·4%(-72%)Alaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 1%·84%(+72%)FL-20 Republican nominee?·Rod Joseph·21%(-63%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 35%·13%(-61%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·43%(-50%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Kevin Christensen·4%(-47%)FL-25 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Jared Moskowitz, ≥15%·36%(-41%)Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?·Mette Frederiksen·11%(-36%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·79%(+35%)Zambian presidential election winner?·Brian Mundubile·2%(-35%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?·At least 2·24%(-32%)FL-23 Democratic primary: Lois Frankel vote percent·At least 80%·20%(-31%)
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Summary

At least 50 is favored at 96% as of 16 Aug 2026, 19:34 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 50: 96% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 25: 18% (24h change 0%)
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