Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is favored at 96% as of 5 Jul 2026, 20:33 UTC across 17 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

• Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 96% (24h change 0%)
• Ahmed al-Sharaa: 95.1% (24h change +13.1%)
• Mohammed bin Salman: 77% (24h change 0%)
• Claudia Sheinbaum: 64% (24h change 0%)
• Peter Thiel: 39% (24h change 0%)
• Vladimir Putin: 38% (24h change -4%)
• Pope Leo XIV: 25% (24h change 0%)
• Kim Jong Un: 20% (24h change +5%)
• Jerome Powell: 17% (24h change 0%)
• Reza Pahlavi: 17% (24h change -3%)
• Lionel Messi: 16% (24h change 0%)
• Gavin Newsom: 15% (24h change 0%)
• Bill Clinton: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
• Tim Walz: 9.3% (24h change -0.2%)
• Nicolás Maduro: 8% (24h change 0%)
• Marjorie Taylor Greene: 7.9% (24h change -2%)
• Lai Ching-te: 6% (24h change 0%)