Skip to content
Other policyHistorical market

Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 26 Sep 2026, 19:34 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Before Jan 1, 2027
Closed contract
99%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Closed contract
99%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Closed contract
98%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Closed contract
98%
About this market

Market question: Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?

Before Jan 1, 2027 had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 26 Sep 2026, 19:34 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?

Before Jan 1, 2027: 99%; Before Dec 1, 2026: 99%; Before Oct 1, 2026: 98%; Before Nov 1, 2026: 98%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.