Live market summary
Before Feb 1, 2027 is favored at 14% as of 21 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Feb 1, 2027: 14% (24h change 0%)
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Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?
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About this market
Market question: Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 20?
Before Feb 1, 2027 is favored at 14% as of 21 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 20?
Before Feb 1, 2027: 14%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.