Summary
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement is favored at 72% as of 6 Aug 2026, 16:03 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.
- U.S.–Mexico interim agreement: 72% (24h change 0%)
- Formal 16-year extension: 36% (24h change 0%)
- Trilateral revised deal: 27% (24h change 0%)
- Mexican withdrawal notice: 21% (24h change 0%)
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Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
Trade ↗Odds history
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