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Live market summary

Nicolás Maduro is favored at 76% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC across 18 markets.

  • Nicolás Maduro: 76% (24h change -4%)
  • Delcy Rodríguez: 17% (24h change -4%)
  • Edmundo González: 3.2% (24h change +2.8%)
  • Donald Trump: 1.9% (24h change +0.2%)
  • Dinorah Figuera: 1.9% (24h change -0.4%)
  • Marco Rubio: 1.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Pete Hegseth: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
  • María Corina Machado: 0.8% (24h change +0.1%)
  • Richard Grenell: 0.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Miguel Rodríguez Torres: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
  • Dan Caine: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
  • Evan Pettus: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
  • Stephen Miller: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
  • Frank Donovan: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
  • Jorge Rodríguez: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
  • Vladimir Padrino López: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Juan Guaidó: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Diosdado Cabello Rondón: 0.1% (24h change -0.4%)
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Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

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About this market

Market question: Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro is favored at 76% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro: 76%; Delcy Rodríguez: 17%; Edmundo González: 3.2%; Donald Trump: 1.9%; Dinorah Figuera: 1.9%; Marco Rubio: 1.6%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.