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Live market summary

Below 8.6% is favored at 30% as of 30 Sep 2026, 19:37 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Below 8.6%: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • 8.9%: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • 8.7%: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • 9.0%: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • 9.2%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • 9.1%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 9.2%: 3% (24h change 0%)
congressional7 marketsLIVE

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?

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All options

8.9%

25%
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8.7%

12%
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About this market

Market question: Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?

Below 8.6% is favored at 30% as of 30 Sep 2026, 19:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?

Below 8.6%: 30%; 8.9%: 25%; 8.7%: 12%; 9.0%: 7%; 9.2%: 3%; 9.1%: 3%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.