Live market summary
8.8% is favored at 61% as of 4 Oct 2026, 06:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- 8.8%: 61% (24h change 0%)
- Below 8.5%: 4% (24h change 0%)
congressional2 marketsLIVE
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?
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About this market
Market question: Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?
8.8% is favored at 61% as of 4 Oct 2026, 06:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?
8.8%: 61%; Below 8.5%: 4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.