Live market summary
At least 14% is favored at 79% as of 18 Sep 2026, 18:06 UTC across 3 markets.
- At least 14%: 79% (24h change 0%)
- At least 16%: 49% (24h change 0%)
- At least 18%: 25% (24h change 0%)
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Berlin state election: Grüne vote share?
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About this market
Market question: Berlin state election: Grüne vote share?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Berlin state election: Grüne vote share?
At least 14% is favored at 79% as of 18 Sep 2026, 18:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Berlin state election: Grüne vote share?
At least 14%: 79%; At least 16%: 49%; At least 18%: 25%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.