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Powered by KalshiTexas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 8.80M·93%(+73%)When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?·Before Apr 1, 2027·97%(+66%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent·At least 60%·2%(-58%)Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?·Before Jan 31, 2028·26%(-56%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥10%·92%(+55%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Jeromie Whalen vote percent·At least 40%·99%(+54%)MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent·At least 45%·3%(-50%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 11, 2026·11%(-48%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Beau Bayh·49%(-46%)MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)·Richard Neal, ≥20%·1%(-43%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)·Ed Markey, ≥35%·1%(-42%)MA-08 Democratic primary: Stephen Lynch vote percent·At least 55%·97%(+39%)Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?·Die Linke·53%(+38%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 50·3%(-37%)When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?·Before Jan 1, 2027·97%(+37%)
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Summary

At least 2% is favored at 78% as of 2 Sep 2026, 08:04 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 2%: 78% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 3%: 62% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 4%: 46% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 5%: 34% (24h change 0%)
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Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)

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