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Federal reserveHistorical market

Which Senators will vote for Kevin Warsh as Fed chair?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

John Fetterman had the highest retained price at 99.9% when this page was last updated on 13 May 2026, 19:48 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
John Fetterman
Closed contract
99.9%
John Kennedy
Closed contract
99.9%
Susan Collins
Closed contract
99.6%
Lisa Murkowski
Closed contract
99.1%
Pete Ricketts
Closed contract
99%
Kevin Cramer
Closed contract
99%
Thom Tillis
Closed contract
99%
Rand Paul
Closed contract
99%
Cindy Hyde-Smith
Closed contract
99%
Shelley Moore Capito
Closed contract
99%
Mitch McConnell
Closed contract
98.1%
Tim Scott
Closed contract
96%
Mike Lee
Closed contract
94%
John Hickenlooper
Closed contract
0%
Ruben Gallego
Closed contract
0%
Maggie Hassan
Closed contract
0%
Jeanne Shaheen
Closed contract
0%
Chris Coons
Closed contract
0%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Which Senators will vote for Kevin Warsh as Fed chair?

John Fetterman had the highest retained price at 99.9% when this page was last updated on 13 May 2026, 19:48 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Which Senators will vote for Kevin Warsh as Fed chair?

John Fetterman: 99.9%; John Kennedy: 99.9%; Susan Collins: 99.6%; Lisa Murkowski: 99.1%; Pete Ricketts: 99%; Kevin Cramer: 99%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.