Back
SenateHistorical market

Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the Senate?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Thom Tillis had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 5 Jun 2026, 14:51 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Thom Tillis
Closed contract
99%
Rand Paul
Closed contract
99%
Susan Collins
Closed contract
99%
Mitch McConnell
Closed contract
99%
Bill Cassidy
Closed contract
99%
Lisa Murkowski
Closed contract
1%
John Fetterman
Closed contract
1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the Senate?

Thom Tillis had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 5 Jun 2026, 14:51 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the Senate?

Thom Tillis: 99%; Rand Paul: 99%; Susan Collins: 99%; Mitch McConnell: 99%; Bill Cassidy: 99%; Lisa Murkowski: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.