Will Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030? is favored at 17% as of 14 Sep 2026, 10:05 UTC across 1 market.
- Will Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030?: 17% (24h change 0%)
Will Wales announce an independence referendum?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Will Wales announce an independence referendum?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Wales announce an independence referendum?
Will Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030? is favored at 17% as of 14 Sep 2026, 10:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Wales announce an independence referendum?
Will Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030?: 17%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.