Live market summary
Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 41% as of 14 Sep 2026, 23:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Before Jan 1, 2028: 41% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jul 1, 2027: 32% (24h change 0%)
international2 marketsLIVE
When will Wales call a snap election?
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About this market
Market question: When will Wales call a snap election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in When will Wales call a snap election?
Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 41% as of 14 Sep 2026, 23:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for When will Wales call a snap election?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 41%; Before Jul 1, 2027: 32%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.