Before Jan 1, 2031 is favored at 75% as of 29 Aug 2026, 01:04 UTC across 5 markets.
- Before Jan 1, 2031: 75% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2030: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2029: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2028: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 2% (24h change 0%)
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Before Jan 1, 2031 is favored at 75% as of 29 Aug 2026, 01:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Before Jan 1, 2031: 75%; Before Jan 1, 2030: 12%; Before Jan 1, 2029: 5%; Before Jan 1, 2028: 3%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.