Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiFlorida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 27+ pts·98.7%(+83.7%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 12 million·3%(-82%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 115 million·31%(-59%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 3, 2026?·40.2 to 40.4·97%(+50%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·48%(+42%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·50%(+41%)AZ-08 Democratic nominee?·Raymond Keeler·20%(-36%)LA-01 Republican nominee?·Steve Scalise·8%(-29%)How many candidates endorsed by Justice Democrats will win their primaries?·Above 6·48%(+25%)Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·Ed Miliband·59%(-22%)AZ-04 Democratic nominee?·Kai Newkirk·37%(+20%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·10%(-20%)NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Claire Valdez, 0-3%·1%(-20%)Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?·John Hickenlooper, ≥6%·3%(-20%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·56%(-19%)
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Live summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 51% as of 3 Jul 2026, 14:03 UTC across 3 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Oct 1, 2026: 34% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Aug 1, 2026: 16% (24h change 0%)
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