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InternationalHistorical market

York-Simcoe by-election winner?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Susan Lahey had the highest retained price at 98% when this page was last updated on 16 Sep 2026, 17:05 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Susan Lahey
Closed contract
98%
Bobby Nikmard
Closed contract
1%
David Ghobrial
Closed contract
1%
Gerald Auger
Closed contract
1%
Matt Pearce
Closed contract
1%
Sean Conroy
Closed contract
1%
Naomi Davison
Closed contract
1%
About this market

Market question: York-Simcoe by-election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for York-Simcoe by-election winner?

Susan Lahey had the highest retained price at 98% when this page was last updated on 16 Sep 2026, 17:05 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for York-Simcoe by-election winner?

Susan Lahey: 98%; Bobby Nikmard: 1%; David Ghobrial: 1%; Gerald Auger: 1%; Matt Pearce: 1%; Sean Conroy: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.