Live market summary
Ashley Hinson is favored at 57% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Ashley Hinson: 57% (24h change +2%)
- Josh Turek: 44% (24h change -1%)
About this market
Market question: Iowa Senate winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Iowa Senate winner?
Ashley Hinson is favored at 57% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Iowa Senate winner?
Ashley Hinson: 57%; Josh Turek: 44%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.