Live market summary
James Talarico is favored at 65% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- James Talarico: 65% (24h change +1%)
- Ken Paxton: 36% (24h change -1%)
About this market
Market question: Texas Senate winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Texas Senate winner?
James Talarico is favored at 65% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Texas Senate winner?
James Talarico: 65%; Ken Paxton: 36%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.