Live market summary
Republican party is favored at 89% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC across 3 markets.
- Republican party: 89% (24h change +3%)
- Bill Hill: 14% (24h change -1%)
- Democratic party: 0.4% (24h change -3.9%)
About this market
Market question: Alaska House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Alaska House winner?
Republican party is favored at 89% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Alaska House winner?
Republican party: 89%; Bill Hill: 14%; Democratic party: 0.4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.