Live market summary
Amish Shah is favored at 79% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Amish Shah: 79% (24h change +1%)
- Jay Feely: 21% (24h change -1%)
About this market
Market question: AZ-01 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in AZ-01 House winner?
Amish Shah is favored at 79% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for AZ-01 House winner?
Amish Shah: 79%; Jay Feely: 21%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.