Live market summary
Laura Gillen is favored at 89% as of 3 Oct 2026, 22:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Laura Gillen: 89% (24h change -2.2%)
- Jeanine Driscoll: 9.3% (24h change -0.7%)
About this market
Market question: NY-04 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in NY-04 House winner?
Laura Gillen is favored at 89% as of 3 Oct 2026, 22:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for NY-04 House winner?
Laura Gillen: 89%; Jeanine Driscoll: 9.3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.