Live market summary
Elaine Luria is favored at 81% as of 4 Oct 2026, 00:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Elaine Luria: 81% (24h change -1%)
- Jen Kiggans: 18% (24h change -1%)
About this market
Market question: VA-02 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in VA-02 House winner?
Elaine Luria is favored at 81% as of 4 Oct 2026, 00:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for VA-02 House winner?
Elaine Luria: 81%; Jen Kiggans: 18%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.