Live market summary
Scott Wiener is favored at 77% as of 13 Oct 2026, 07:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Scott Wiener: 77% (24h change -1%)
- Connie Chan: 25% (24h change +2%)
About this market
Market question: CA-11 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in CA-11 House winner?
Scott Wiener is favored at 77% as of 13 Oct 2026, 07:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for CA-11 House winner?
Scott Wiener: 77%; Connie Chan: 25%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.