Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Amir Ohana·1%(-88%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 17, 2026?·39.2·96%(+81%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Recep Tayyip Erdoğan·99%(+77%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21)·At least 50·24%(-71%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·88%(+68%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 55%·11%(-61%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 10%·14%(-61%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?·Steve Simon·50%(+45%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·77%(+45%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Aaron Guckian·16%(-43%)Next Senate Democratic Leader?·Chris Murphy·52%(+40%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 80%·24%(-40%)

Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Amir Ohana·1%(-88%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 17, 2026?·39.2·96%(+81%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Recep Tayyip Erdoğan·99%(+77%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21)·At least 50·24%(-71%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·88%(+68%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 55%·11%(-61%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 10%·14%(-61%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?·Steve Simon·50%(+45%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·77%(+45%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Aaron Guckian·16%(-43%)Next Senate Democratic Leader?·Chris Murphy·52%(+40%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 80%·24%(-40%)

Summary

Lateefah Simon is favored at 87% as of 15 Aug 2026, 23:04 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

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CA-12 House winner?

All options

Lateefah Simon

87%

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$3K

Jamie Joyce

15%

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$3K