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California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

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Live market summary

No, ≥1% is favored at 73% as of 25 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC across 8 markets.

  • No, ≥1%: 73% (24h change +2%)
  • No, ≥7%: 69% (24h change 0%)
  • No, ≥4%: 50% (24h change +4%)
  • No, ≥13%: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • No, ≥10%: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • No, ≥16%: 18% (24h change 0%)
  • No, ≥19%: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • No, ≥22%: 7% (24h change 0%)

All options

No, ≥1%

73%
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No, ≥4%

50%
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About this market

Market question: California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)?

No, ≥1% is favored at 73% as of 25 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)?

No, ≥1%: 73%; No, ≥7%: 69%; No, ≥4%: 50%; No, ≥13%: 31%; No, ≥10%: 24%; No, ≥16%: 18%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.