At least 226 is favored at 87% as of 23 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC across 6 markets.
- At least 226: 87% (24h change 0%)
- At least 222: 85% (24h change 0%)
- At least 234: 80% (24h change 0%)
- At least 230: 73% (24h change 0%)
- At least 238: 40% (24h change 0%)
- At least 246: 24% (24h change 0%)
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
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About this market
Market question: How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
At least 226 is favored at 87% as of 23 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
At least 226: 87%; At least 222: 85%; At least 234: 80%; At least 230: 73%; At least 238: 40%; At least 246: 24%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.