Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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Traffic through the Panama Canal in May 2026?
·
Above 900
·
98%
(+96%)
SC-03 Democratic nominee?
·
Eunice Lehmacher
·
2%
(-76%)
Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 16+ pts
·
0.2%
(-62.8%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (5/10-5/16)
·
At least 4
·
20%
(-61%)
What will Trump announce as part of his China trip?
·
U.S. oil purchases
·
6%
(-54%)
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (5/10-5/16)
·
160-179
·
0%
(-45%)
AL-04 Republican nominee?
·
Robert Aderholt
·
10%
(-40%)
AL-01 Republican nominee?
·
Jerry Carl
·
19%
(-38%)
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
·
Lisa Murkowski
·
27%
(-37%)
Trump late night post this week? (5/10-5/16)
·
2-3 AM
·
0%
(-32%)
Confirmed Hondius hantavirus cases before June 2026?
·
20 or more
·
4%
(-25%)
How many border encounters in May 2026?
·
13,000 to 13,499
·
25%
(+24%)
Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?
·
Kyle Diamantas
·
27%
(-21%)
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
·
Above 100k
·
72%
(+21%)
New Jersey Republican Senate nominee?
·
Alex Zdan
·
55%
(+21%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Traffic through the Panama Canal in May 2026?
·
Above 900
·
98%
(+96%)
SC-03 Democratic nominee?
·
Eunice Lehmacher
·
2%
(-76%)
Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 16+ pts
·
0.2%
(-62.8%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (5/10-5/16)
·
At least 4
·
20%
(-61%)
What will Trump announce as part of his China trip?
·
U.S. oil purchases
·
6%
(-54%)
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (5/10-5/16)
·
160-179
·
0%
(-45%)
AL-04 Republican nominee?
·
Robert Aderholt
·
10%
(-40%)
AL-01 Republican nominee?
·
Jerry Carl
·
19%
(-38%)
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
·
Lisa Murkowski
·
27%
(-37%)
Trump late night post this week? (5/10-5/16)
·
2-3 AM
·
0%
(-32%)
Confirmed Hondius hantavirus cases before June 2026?
·
20 or more
·
4%
(-25%)
How many border encounters in May 2026?
·
13,000 to 13,499
·
25%
(+24%)
Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?
·
Kyle Diamantas
·
27%
(-21%)
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
·
Above 100k
·
72%
(+21%)
New Jersey Republican Senate nominee?
·
Alex Zdan
·
55%
(+21%)
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