Live market summary
Above $75M is favored at 86% as of 18 Aug 2026, 15:33 UTC across 7 markets.
- Above $75M: 86% (24h change 0%)
- Above $85M: 71% (24h change 0%)
- Above $95M: 57% (24h change 0%)
- Above $105M: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Above $115M: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Above $125M: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Above $135M: 9% (24h change 0%)
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SMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
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How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in SMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)?
Above $75M is favored at 86% as of 18 Aug 2026, 15:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for SMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)?
Above $75M: 86%; Above $85M: 71%; Above $95M: 57%; Above $105M: 38%; Above $115M: 22%; Above $125M: 11%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.