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Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/13 - 7/19)·July 18·99%(+96%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)·Above 75·99%(+91%)Navajo Nation presidential election winner?·Buu Nygren·8%(-83%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·Hadash–Ta’al·25%(-72%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?·1·65%(+57%)AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?·Mark Lamb, 20-25%·62%(+56%)Will the DOJ release the Biden ghostwriter tapes?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+49%)How many states will Trump visit in Jul 2026?·9·33%(-41%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jan 1, 2027·9%(-36%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 10·77%(+36%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (7/19-7/25)·At least 5·99%(+32%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·63%(+29%)AZ-01 Democratic nominee?·Amish Shah·97.9%(+28.9%)When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?·Before Aug 1, 2026·79%(+27%)Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?·Before Jan 1, 2027·10%(-27%)
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Summary

Above $95M is favored at 79% as of 22 Jul 2026, 04:03 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above $95M: 79% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $85M: 74% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $105M: 44% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $115M: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $125M: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $135M: 9% (24h change 0%)
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SMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

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