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Powered by KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 30·8%(-83%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·78%(+62%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, 6-9%·11%(-60%)MI-07 House winner?·Democratic party·27%(-46%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 23·54%(+44%)NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $75M·46%(-43%)Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place·Reform UK·98%(+43%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·60%(+41%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 20·95%(+40%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(-39%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche·75%(+38%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 40·43%(-33%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Troy Jackson·43%(+32%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before Jan 1, 2027·18%(-32%)How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?·Above 59·3%(-30%)
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Summary

3 is favored at 21% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 3: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 5: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • 2: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • 1: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • 0: 1% (24h change 0%)
governor5 marketsLIVE

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?

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3

21%
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2

14%
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1

9%
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0

1%
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