Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 10+ pts
·
0%
(-81%)
What will Trump announce as part of his China trip?
·
Rare-earth export extension
·
21%
(-56%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Hillary Clinton
·
67%
(+50%)
LA-04 Republican nominee?
·
Mike Johnson
·
51%
(+50%)
Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 29+ pts
·
80%
(+47%)
How many bills will President Trump sign in May 2026?
·
7
·
56%
(+46%)
South Carolina's 6th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 19+ pts
·
13%
(-45%)
SC-06 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
20%
(-42%)
Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
·
Before Apr 1, 2027
·
43%
(+41%)
LA-06 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
86%
(+40%)
How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?
·
100 to 499
·
64%
(+40%)
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?
·
Between 10% and 19.99%
·
32%
(-38%)
New Jersey Republican Senate nominee?
·
Alex Zdan
·
12%
(-36%)
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
·
South Carolina
·
76%
(+34%)
AL-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Amanda Pusczek
·
81%
(+33%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
·
Republicans, 10+ pts
·
0%
(-81%)
What will Trump announce as part of his China trip?
·
Rare-earth export extension
·
21%
(-56%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Hillary Clinton
·
67%
(+50%)
LA-04 Republican nominee?
·
Mike Johnson
·
51%
(+50%)
Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 29+ pts
·
80%
(+47%)
How many bills will President Trump sign in May 2026?
·
7
·
56%
(+46%)
South Carolina's 6th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 19+ pts
·
13%
(-45%)
SC-06 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
20%
(-42%)
Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
·
Before Apr 1, 2027
·
43%
(+41%)
LA-06 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
86%
(+40%)
How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?
·
100 to 499
·
64%
(+40%)
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?
·
Between 10% and 19.99%
·
32%
(-38%)
New Jersey Republican Senate nominee?
·
Alex Zdan
·
12%
(-36%)
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
·
South Carolina
·
76%
(+34%)
AL-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Amanda Pusczek
·
81%
(+33%)
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