Mike Johnson is favored at 51% as of 10 Oct 2026, 07:06 UTC across 3 markets.
- Mike Johnson: 51% (24h change 0%)
- Jim Jordan: 42% (24h change 0%)
- Steve Scalise: 31% (24h change 0%)
120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
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About this market
Market question: 120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
Mike Johnson is favored at 51% as of 10 Oct 2026, 07:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
Mike Johnson: 51%; Jim Jordan: 42%; Steve Scalise: 31%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.