Live market summary
Democrats, ≥2% is favored at 87% as of 18 Sep 2026, 17:36 UTC across 1 market.
- Democrats, ≥2%: 87% (24h change 0%)
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2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
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About this market
Market question: 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)?
Democrats, ≥2% is favored at 87% as of 18 Sep 2026, 17:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)?
Democrats, ≥2%: 87%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.