R+0.9 to D+0.9 is favored at 29% as of 17 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC across 3 markets.
- R+0.9 to D+0.9: 29% (24h change 0%)
- D+1 to D+2.9: 20% (24h change 0%)
- D+5 to D+6.9: 2% (24h change 0%)
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: 2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
R+0.9 to D+0.9 is favored at 29% as of 17 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
R+0.9 to D+0.9: 29%; D+1 to D+2.9: 20%; D+5 to D+6.9: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.