Live market summary
French Hill is favored at 86% as of 4 Oct 2026, 14:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- French Hill: 86% (24h change +5%)
- Chris Jones: 17% (24h change -2%)
About this market
Market question: AR-02 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in AR-02 House winner?
French Hill is favored at 86% as of 4 Oct 2026, 14:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for AR-02 House winner?
French Hill: 86%; Chris Jones: 17%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.