Live market summary
Sam Liccardo is favored at 95.2% as of 2 Oct 2026, 20:36 UTC across 2 markets.
- Sam Liccardo: 95.2% (24h change 0%)
- Peter Sundin Soulé: 3.9% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: CA-16 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in CA-16 House winner?
Sam Liccardo is favored at 95.2% as of 2 Oct 2026, 20:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for CA-16 House winner?
Sam Liccardo: 95.2%; Peter Sundin Soulé: 3.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.