Live market summary
Pete Aguilar is favored at 94.5% as of 3 Oct 2026, 01:36 UTC across 2 markets.
- Pete Aguilar: 94.5% (24h change 0%)
- Stephanie Vargas: 5.8% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: CA-33 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in CA-33 House winner?
Pete Aguilar is favored at 94.5% as of 3 Oct 2026, 01:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for CA-33 House winner?
Pete Aguilar: 94.5%; Stephanie Vargas: 5.8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.