Live market summary
Ilhan Omar is favored at 98.2% as of 4 Oct 2026, 08:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Ilhan Omar: 98.2% (24h change -0.5%)
- John Nagel: 2.1% (24h change +0.2%)
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MN-05 House winner?
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About this market
Market question: MN-05 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in MN-05 House winner?
Ilhan Omar is favored at 98.2% as of 4 Oct 2026, 08:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for MN-05 House winner?
Ilhan Omar: 98.2%; John Nagel: 2.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.