Live market summary
Tom Emmer is favored at 91.9% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Tom Emmer: 91.9% (24h change -0.8%)
- Doug Chapin: 8.2% (24h change -1.7%)
About this market
Market question: MN-06 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in MN-06 House winner?
Tom Emmer is favored at 91.9% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for MN-06 House winner?
Tom Emmer: 91.9%; Doug Chapin: 8.2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.