Live market summary
Mike Flood is favored at 84% as of 4 Oct 2026, 03:35 UTC across 3 markets.
- Mike Flood: 84% (24h change 0%)
- Chris Backemeyer: 16% (24h change -2%)
- Austin Ahlman: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: NE-01 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in NE-01 House winner?
Mike Flood is favored at 84% as of 4 Oct 2026, 03:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for NE-01 House winner?
Mike Flood: 84%; Chris Backemeyer: 16%; Austin Ahlman: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.