Live market summary
Herb Conaway is favored at 97.8% as of 3 Oct 2026, 18:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Herb Conaway: 97.8% (24h change +4.8%)
- Michael McGuire: 2.6% (24h change -0.7%)
About this market
Market question: NJ-03 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in NJ-03 House winner?
Herb Conaway is favored at 97.8% as of 3 Oct 2026, 18:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for NJ-03 House winner?
Herb Conaway: 97.8%; Michael McGuire: 2.6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.