Live market summary
Micah Lasher is favored at 96% as of 26 Sep 2026, 20:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- Micah Lasher: 96% (24h change 0%)
- Caroline Shinkle: 2% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: NY-12 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in NY-12 House winner?
Micah Lasher is favored at 96% as of 26 Sep 2026, 20:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for NY-12 House winner?
Micah Lasher: 96%; Caroline Shinkle: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.