Live market summary
Mary Gay Scanlon is favored at 98.5% as of 2 Oct 2026, 17:36 UTC across 2 markets.
- Mary Gay Scanlon: 98.5% (24h change 0%)
- Nicholas Manganaro: 2.8% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: PA-05 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in PA-05 House winner?
Mary Gay Scanlon is favored at 98.5% as of 2 Oct 2026, 17:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for PA-05 House winner?
Mary Gay Scanlon: 98.5%; Nicholas Manganaro: 2.8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.