Live market summary
Pat Fallon is favored at 91.7% as of 3 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Pat Fallon: 91.7% (24h change 0%)
- Jason Pearce: 9.2% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: TX-04 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in TX-04 House winner?
Pat Fallon is favored at 91.7% as of 3 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for TX-04 House winner?
Pat Fallon: 91.7%; Jason Pearce: 9.2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.