Live market summary
Jake Ellzey is favored at 96.6% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Jake Ellzey: 96.6% (24h change +3.7%)
- Danny Minton: 4.4% (24h change +1.9%)
About this market
Market question: TX-06 House winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in TX-06 House winner?
Jake Ellzey is favored at 96.6% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for TX-06 House winner?
Jake Ellzey: 96.6%; Danny Minton: 4.4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.