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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+93%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+68%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-56%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·40%(-43%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·6.3%(-40.7%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 8-12%·1%(-39%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·97%(+38%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·34%(-38%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 8, 2026·43%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$47.5 trillion·64%(+33%)IA-03 House winner?·Zach Nunn·28%(-31%)
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Summary

120 to 124.99 million is favored at 31% as of 19 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 120 to 124.99 million: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • 125 million and above: 25% (24h change +1%)
  • 115 to 119.99 million: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • 110 to 114.99 million: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • 105 to 109.99 million: 9.2% (24h change 0%)
  • 95 to 99.99 million: 4.8% (24h change 0%)
  • 90 to 94.99 million: 3% (24h change -0.1%)
  • 100 to 104.99 million: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Less than 90 million: 1% (24h change -1.5%)
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