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U.S. Midterms 2026
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Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?
·
Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?
·
95%
(+79%)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 250
·
73%
(+62%)
Minas Gerais Governor winner?
·
Cleitinho Azevedo
·
8%
(-54%)
VA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Jason Knapp
·
6%
(-52%)
Will Trump release more Epstein files in Aug 2026?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
79%
(+50%)
Wisconsin Attorney General winner?
·
Republican party
·
58%
(+44%)
How many people will Trump pardon in Aug 2026?
·
0
·
77%
(+39%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 32+ pts
·
46%
(+38.5%)
Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?
·
Below 39.2
·
80%
(+37%)
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
·
Susan Collins
·
49%
(+36%)
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
·
Before Oct 2026
·
54%
(-34%)
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?
·
Jerome Powell
·
24%
(-33%)
MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
·
Wesley Bell, 9-12%
·
15%
(-33%)
When will a reconciliation bill become law?
·
Before Jan 1, 2029
·
39%
(+33%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
·
Above 75
·
48%
(-31%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?
·
Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?
·
95%
(+79%)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 250
·
73%
(+62%)
Minas Gerais Governor winner?
·
Cleitinho Azevedo
·
8%
(-54%)
VA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Jason Knapp
·
6%
(-52%)
Will Trump release more Epstein files in Aug 2026?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
79%
(+50%)
Wisconsin Attorney General winner?
·
Republican party
·
58%
(+44%)
How many people will Trump pardon in Aug 2026?
·
0
·
77%
(+39%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 32+ pts
·
46%
(+38.5%)
Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?
·
Below 39.2
·
80%
(+37%)
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
·
Susan Collins
·
49%
(+36%)
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
·
Before Oct 2026
·
54%
(-34%)
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?
·
Jerome Powell
·
24%
(-33%)
MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
·
Wesley Bell, 9-12%
·
15%
(-33%)
When will a reconciliation bill become law?
·
Before Jan 1, 2029
·
39%
(+33%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
·
Above 75
·
48%
(-31%)
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How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama?
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Summary
1
is favored at
68%
as of 2 Aug 2026, 20:03 UTC
across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.
1: 68% (24h change 0%)
2: 18% (24h change 0%)
0: 6% (24h change 0%)
Above 2: 1% (24h change 0%)
house
4 markets
LIVE
How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama?
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Market
↕
Odds
↓
24h
↕
Volume
↕
1
68
%
—
$4K
Trade ↗
2
18
%
—
$3K
Trade ↗
0
6
%
—
$926
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Above 2
1
%
—
$465
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