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How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
·
10
·
88%
(+73%)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
July 22
·
12%
(-60%)
MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
·
Wesley Bell, 6-9%
·
11%
(-60%)
NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
·
Above $75M
·
46%
(-43%)
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
·
Alina Habba
·
60%
(+41%)
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)
·
Nick Begich III
·
80%
(+39%)
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
·
Before Jan 1, 2033
·
51%
(+39%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
41%
(-39%)
KS-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Chris Carmichael
·
24%
(-35%)
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
18%
(-33%)
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?
·
Ron DeSantis
·
38%
(-33%)
Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent
·
At least 20%
·
73%
(+33%)
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
·
Ron DeSantis
·
60%
(+32%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 35
·
34%
(-31%)
How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?
·
Above 59
·
3%
(-30%)
Powered by
Kalshi
How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
·
10
·
88%
(+73%)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
July 22
·
12%
(-60%)
MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
·
Wesley Bell, 6-9%
·
11%
(-60%)
NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
·
Above $75M
·
46%
(-43%)
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
·
Alina Habba
·
60%
(+41%)
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)
·
Nick Begich III
·
80%
(+39%)
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
·
Before Jan 1, 2033
·
51%
(+39%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
41%
(-39%)
KS-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Chris Carmichael
·
24%
(-35%)
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
18%
(-33%)
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?
·
Ron DeSantis
·
38%
(-33%)
Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent
·
At least 20%
·
73%
(+33%)
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
·
Ron DeSantis
·
60%
(+32%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 35
·
34%
(-31%)
How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?
·
Above 59
·
3%
(-30%)
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How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
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Summary
4
is favored at
16%
as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC
across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.
4: 16% (24h change 0%)
5: 8% (24h change 0%)
Below 4: 6% (24h change 0%)
house
3 markets
LIVE
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
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4
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$47
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Below 4
6
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$1
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